Managing the China, India and Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma: Ensuring Nuclear Stability in the New Nuclear Age

At one level, the existing nuclear order has been a success – the nuclear taboo has held for over 75 years; nuclear weapon stockpiles have come down from 70000 weapons in the early 1980s to 15000 today; and only four countries are outside the NPT. And yet, there is a chorus of concern that nuclear risks are rising. Why?

A paper published by the Journal for Peace and Disarmament that will appear later in 2023 as a chapter in a forthcoming title

Nuclear Asymmetry and Escalation Dynamics

In a paper for the Chao Track (a Track II initiative between India and Pakistan) I examine the nuclear dynamics between India and Pakistan by examining the various crises that have challenged the leadership in both countries since the 1980s. Conclusion-the two countries must have a strategic dialogue to ensure that miscalculations do not lead to inadvertent escalation.

Nuclear Risks In Asia

In conversation with Lt Gen Amit Sharma (Former C-in-C, Strategic Force Command), Hannah Haegeland (Sandia National Laboratories), Dr Manpreet Sethi (Distinguished Fellow, Centre For Air Power Studies) and Dr Toby Dalton (Co-Director and Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment) for CSDR

@CSDR_India, @HappymonJacob, @HHaegeland, @manpreetsethi01, @toby_dalton

We talk about assessing nuclear risks, India-Pakistan, India-China, advanced technologies, cyber threats, missile defences, no-first-use policies and prospects for arms control and stability talks.